Lee Index

  • Population: Community-dwelling adults aged 50 and over
  • Outcome: All cause 4 and 10 year mortality
  • Scroll to the bottom for more detailed information

Risk Calculator
Total Points: 0

  • This index was developed in 11,701 community-dwelling adults from the eastern, western and central United States who were interviewed in the Health Retirement Survey in 1998 (mean age 67, 57% female, 81% white, 12% 4-year mortality)
  • The index was internally validated in 8009 Health Retirement Survey interviewees from the southern United States (mean age 67, 57% female, 71% white, 13% 4-year mortality)
  • Discrimination: This risk calculator sorts patients who died from patients who lived correctly 82% of the time (c-statistic).
    very good
  • Calibration: The model was well calibrated across all risk levels with less than 3% difference between estimated and actual mortality rates.
  • Citation: Lee SJ, Lindquist K, Segal MR, Covinsky KE. Development and validation of a prognostic index for 4-year mortality in older adults. JAMA. 2006 Feb 15;295(7):801-8.

DISCLAIMER

The information provided on ePrognosis is designed to complement, not replace, the relationship between a patient and his/her own medical providers. ePrognosis was created with the support of the Division of Geriatrics at the University of California San Francisco. However, its content is strictly the work of its authors and has no affiliation with any organization or institution. This web site does not accept advertisements. If you reproduce the material on the website please cite appropriately. For feedback and questions regarding the site please email Sei Lee, MD (sei.lee@ucsf.edu), Alex Smith, MD (aksmith@ucsf.edu) or Eric Widera, MD (eric.widera@ucsf.edu).